New temperature record can be delivered in 2024

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2020-07-19 20:40:09

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New temperature record can be delivered in 2024

do you personally Feel the consequences of climate change? Response

The World can see how the annual global temperature for the first time in the next five years will overcome a key threshold, as reported by the meteorological Agency of the United Nations. According to forecasts of the world meteorological organization, there is a 20% probability that global temperature will be 1.5 degrees Celsius above average pre-industrial level at least for one year between 2020 and 2024 years. Recall that the mark of 1.5°C — this is the maximum threshold for global temperature increase, as stated in the Paris agreement of 2015. Although for a new annual maximum may be followed by several years with lower average temperatures, overcoming this threshold will be considered as another proof that the international efforts to curb climate change do not work.

Can I stop climate change?

According to max Dilley, Director, climate services world meteorological organization, the current situation with the increase in global temperatures shows how close we come to what is trying to prevent the Paris agreement. As the Associated Press, it is possible that countries will be able to achieve in the Paris agreement's goal of maintaining global temperature significantly below 2 degrees Celsius. Ideally, the temperature increase should not exceed 1.5°C by the end of the century.

However, any delay simply reduces the window during which there will still be time to reverse these trends and return the temperature back to those limits. Scientists believe that average temperatures around the world now at least 1°C higher than in the years 1850-1900 due to anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases.

climate Change is, without exaggeration, can wipe human civilization off the face of the Earth

These data are presented in annual climate prediction based on several long-term computer models, prepared under the leadership of the office of Metropolitan of the United Kingdom. Note that earlier climate models have proven their accuracy, because it is based on well understood physical equations about the effect of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. on Today, researchers can make more accurate predictions about the climate than the weather. Physics behind it, solid as a rock.

Although the threshold of 1.5 degrees Celsius is «a screaming warning signal», it should not detract from the overall effort to reduce anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions to zero by 2050. The WMO notes that the models used for prediction do not take into account the impact that the pandemic coronavirus can have on reducing emissions of planet warming gases such as carbon dioxide. But experts say that any associated with a pandemic reduction in emissions is likely to be short-term and may actually hurt efforts to end the use of fossil fuels.

air Pollution is one of the most important issues of our time. According to the results of scientific research, pollution annually kills more than five million lives. Just think about those numbers.

The Impact of coronavirus is a partial stop of the world economy. But to change the way we do it, only with a healthy economy. Dilly, the official representative of the WMO, said that record-breaking temperatures, such as those currently observed in the Arctic are the result of emissions pumped into the atmosphere decades ago, so attempts to change the future for climate must happen soon.

Climate Change can be compared to an ocean liner, which long turns. This is the message that people should take care in their daily lives. We need to be aware that how much what and why we consume, how we vote, how we recycle the garbage and everything else. The situation is such that only radical change and common efforts can stop our planet from turning into overcooked in the Sun to a pulp.

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