How will our life change after the lifting of the quarantine?

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2020-04-12 18:40:12

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How will our life change after the lifting of the quarantine? Source:

The Word «quarantine» in the header I used as the collective image. In different countries is now introduced different modes, but as if they were not called — it all comes down to one thing: setting limits on citizens, economy, business, entertainment, services, etc. Many will not be able to recover from the shock and will close, people will lose their jobs or become significantly less money and, as a consequence — less waste. Definitely the world will change for many years to come. Can we get back to the usual patterns of consumption and doing business? Now nobody knows, but nothing prevents us not to speculate on this topic. We are going to do.

So let's start with us. Most today are faced with problems at work. Although the state television demanded that employers continue to pay wages, but to send everyone on a vacation — common sense tells us that miracles do not happen. If to speak about state employees (those who receive a salary from the state), everything is more or less clear. As they say, the Treasury pays. But what to do with the private sector? Almost all services shut down. This applies to food services (restaurants, cafes, bars) and to the field of entertainment (movies, theaters, shopping malls) and services (Shoe repair, computer equipment, fitness centers). A couple of days in Moscow and the Moscow Region introduced the mode of transportation by permit only. I have no doubt that this will have a positive impact on stopping the number of infected (we see this with the example of China, for example), but where the business will take the money to pay wages and commercial rent?

And you wondered where people ? I share my opinion on this matter.

Contrary to popular belief that the Russian businessman is snickering fat under 120 kg of weight, it is not. For most stop business for 1-2 months, virtually closing it down. No negotiable money (that brought by clients) the salary and rent for more than a month. Normal business conditions do not suggest depositing money into accounts «rainy day». The money should work. They invest in product, business expansion, opening new branches, etc. Until there is a mass influx of cash — all good. Once all are put on the insulation and the flow of money stops — the business is closed. You can even head on the wall to fight and say, «the business must pay wages», but if you have no money, and salaries, either.

like this now look cinemas

All this leads to the fact that many people lose their jobs, and those who do manage to save will much respect to money and its accumulation. Who knows what we can expect in the next month/two/six months/year? Subconsciously or consciously we start to save money on the force majeure. And in our country it has been. And more than once. Or two. And not even three. But over time, people relaxes, forgets the past and starts to live the future. This is normal, as the human psyche.

By Itself, the labor market is quite much gives way. The closed institution will be impossible to revive the snap of the fingers. And the problem is not that there is no money for their new discovery, and that people prefer spending money their accumulation. Well, just in case.

But not for all pandemic is bankrupt. that tore a significant amount of money on isolation of citizens worldwide

What about tourism? In my opinion with him is worse than with entertainment. Most of the countries, to cope with the coronavirus, it just does not want to take risks and put themselves to tourists. It should be understood that in different countries the situation may differ from each other quite dramatically. How soon Finland will agree to let tourists from Spain and Italy? And when the US will open its borders to travelers from China? There is no answer. At least for now. We don't even know what will happen once the restrictions will be removed within the same country. All will come out, will go to the cinema, parks and begins to closely contact each other? What we get in the end? A second wave of infections? Also the answer is no.

Recently, I have what is called «fingers» explained what happens to our body when . Recommended reading!

To my opinion was not the only one in this article, I asked my colleagues to answer the question «How do you see the development of the world order after the lifting of restrictions within 1-2 years?»

According to the most optimistic forecasts, the growth rate of the pandemic begins to subside in the summer. With regard to full recovery and elimination of the consequences, it may take up to two years. This year someone will be able to recover, some not — the hardest will be offline business, and all who dealt with him. Millions of people lost their jobs, and it is logical that in a month they are all new place will not find. Least there will be consequences in enterprises with state support, now there are many, both in Russia and in the world.

Personally, I find myself thinking that he was afraid of crowds, and don't even knowwhen I can again without fear go and take a walk through the Mall. Or go to the movies, where a hall full of people. If they start to get together with friends, only at home, until I'm ready to go to cafes/restaurants and other entertainment places.

Most Likely, even after the pandemic is over, we will not be able to travel, as before, at least a few years. The borders open, but we are all in for a wave of tests and medical examinations when you visit a particular country. But I'm not going to say when we'll get to that. a If get, will be good.

Alexander Bogdanov, author of articles Hi-News.ru

It is Obvious that people in the United States, China and Europe will change their habits. Will not be going to the movies, less going to restaurants and cafes. Congratulations to Netflix and UberEats, you've hit the jackpot! And of course wildly fly social network. If we can't brag about new things offline, we'll do it online. Tiktok, Instagram and other services rack up a huge number of new users. Will grow as content consumption and creation.

Got to be soar the popularity of car-sharing — to go in the car better than sitting in the subway and afraid of catching the virus. Although I do not fully understand how the authorities can provide the distance in office buildings, in factories, in transport. It just seems unreal. And to work in masks and gloves, and even more so the scenario of a parallel reality.

Many remain on remote work. It is convenient, cheap, and money for office rent for companies no. And people on remote you can pay less. Moscow-based company may hire a person in Tomsk and pay much less capital market.

Another question: how quickly we forget the pandemic? Here it is necessary to look at historical research.

And the economy will be just another. a new era of dotcom. Online will steer over flannum, for me it's obvious.

Mikhail Korolyov, founder Hi-News.ru

In fact raised in the title of the question is very difficult. I encourage you to share your opinion in the comments of the post or discuss it in our . Give your forecast for the future month/year/five years.

someday this will all end. And what will happen then?

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