the Origin of life on Earth was possible. But does this mean that other planets also have intelligent life?
During the existence of mankind – and according to various estimates it has between a 2.4 to 2.8 million years – we never met intelligent life outside Earth. It is not surprising that we ultimately believe in their own uniqueness. But is life on our planet by accident? The results of the latest scientific studies show that the emergence of life on Earth actually had an event quite likely and predictable, although the chances of intelligent life are small. But if life is ubiquitous in the Universe, where is everybody?
The answer to the question formulated by the Italian physicist Enrico Fermi «Where is everybody?» researchers are not the first decade. But despite all the technological advances and scientific skills, we still found no signs of life beyond the home planet, not to mention the signs of advanced extraterrestrial civilizations that even remotely resemble our own. Reasons why we feel lonely drifting in an infinite Universe, a great many. So, aliens could visit the Earth a few million years ago, and maybe we just can't see them or they want it.
Anyway, given the number of open in recent years exoplanets (planets outside the Solar system), it seems incredible that countless uninhabited worlds. An excess of exoplanets in the observable Universe and our own existence suggests that other life forms inhabit rocky and gas planets throughout the Universe. But, maybe not. The only proof of the existence of life in the Universe is Earth. But life on our planet may not be intended for prosperity, and the emergence of Homo Sapiens and completely unforeseen accident.
In the new study, astronomer David Kipping of Columbia University with the help of the statistical method known as the Bayesian method, studied the chances of the emergence of life (including intelligent) on the Ground. Let me remind you that Thomas Bayes (1702-1761) was a little known preacher who was fond of mathematics. His name is world science remember thanks to a mathematical formula, showing how to use new data to adjust probabilities – Bayes ' theorem.
Simply put, this is the type of statistics that uses probability to take into account the subsequent information that gives him an advantage over simply comparing sets of numbers. Read more about what other research using Bayes ' theorem I . Recommended reading!
If in the Universe besides us no one else, then how much wasted space!
As written , this is not the first time that scientists use Bayes ' theorem as a theoretical means of quantifying the likelihood of life on other Earth-like planets, but Kipping made to the formula, some changes. In the course of work Kipping had calculated, based on the evidence that life in planetary history of the Earth arose quickly, and intelligent life appeared approximately 4 billion years.
In a paper published in the journal , Kipping weighed the evolutionary possibilities of the origin of life on Earth: life in the Universe is common, but intelligent life is common; life is common but intelligent life is rare; life is rare. but intelligent life is common; life is rare and intelligent life. Looking at these potential outcomes, Kipping came to the conclusion that the arguments in favor of rapid development of life on Earth is very strong.
If future research will confirm the evidence of an earlier origin of life on our planet, from the point of view of statistics the conditions on Earth were quite suitable for the origin of life, but this does not mean that intelligent life was bound to appear. Thus, the probability that the intelligence is extremely rare and our planet a kind of «exception», quite wealthy.
it is possible that life in space is a common thing
In General, the results of a new study indicate that intelligent life in the Universe is rare, given our late appearance. But is it possible to apply the same chances of life on other planets? According to Kipping Yes and no. The fact that the analysis deals only with the Land, considering the emergence of life as a random process on the background of the events and conditions that may be most likely unique to our planet. However, if another planet will be virtually identical to Earth, in terms of its planetary conditions and evolution, then perhaps we can finally understand how likely life is on a strange, cosmic expanse. What do you think, are we alone in the Universe? Share your response in the comments to this article, as well as with participants .
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